Those who know me are aware that I have a penchant for exploring emerging technologies. I grew up as an early user of the consumer internet, getting online for the first time in 1991. I was a relatively early adopter of cryptocurrency in 2013. And recently, I have become transfixed by AI and what it means for society. Coupled with my 15 years of experience as a management and change consultant, with experience advising nearly 100 different organizations, I believe this gives me some perspective which may be helpful for the conversation which we are about to start as a society around AI and how it will affect the way we live and work.
Great read! Love the positive ending. Mind blowing times we live in. Just hope that if this grants us more time in future we actually use it to do the things we grumble about not having time for like family and touching grass.
Nice overview. An optimistic take, which I always appreciate. I would love to see a follow on article expanding more on how AI and Crypto may interact and complement each other (or not). Thanks DC.
"But it is not all doom and gloom- there are perhaps reasons to be optimistic. In the history of technological disruption, humans always found creative ways to use new tools to make their work better and do even more of it." But this time it's different. Humans have 2 kinds of labor, physical and intellect. That's it. Physical labor has dramatically evolved over the past 100 years due to improvements in tech (look at the number of people farming as a job today versus 100 years ago). Which was fine because we could think. It's our bread and butter. For the first time in history we will not be able to compete on an intellectual level. And given a long enough timeline (which turns out isn't too long) AI technology will undoubtedly create structural unemployment. That is to say, there will be nothing many people can do to make themselves economically viable. Despite the authors encouragement to get ahead of the curve and learn how to use the tech, many will not. I think the time is now to start talking about what to do with this situation. What to do when the unemployment rate goes to 30 or 40 or 50%?
Great read and sums up exactly what I’ve probably been annoying people with these last few weeks 😂 I’m curious what bets you may make on the future of work 15ish years from now. That is, if you had kids under 10 yrs old today, what guidance would you give them as they navigate HS and college?
I read "Scary Smart" by Mo Gawdat (former CTO of google X) a couple years ago, and he outlines where we were at the time, and where it could go for us as humans. A lot of the same points you made, but we didn't have ChatGPT at the time. But he also details the rate of change/adoption for new technologies, and how it increases exponentially. What a time to be alive, literally and figuratively. I'm not sure what the future holds exactly, but I should....buy Fetch coins? hahaa
I'm super optimistic. One nit pick though, GPT4 has had vision since day 1. We just haven't been able to use it. The major differences between 3.5 and 4 was that 4 was "born and raised" multi-modal. So comparing two columns (before/after vision) is relatively moot. Perhaps the tests could be different based on whether or not it used vision in the test evaluations (like the SAT, it could read the diagrams.) One of the interesting theories about the multimodal nature is that just having been trained on vision and knowing visual things makes it better at text-only reasoning too. I find that to be fascinating and exciting.
So far the best work i've read that summarises the current state of AI and its potential for humanity. Incredibly thought provoking! Thank you for sharing. Must read and must share.
Great read! Love the positive ending. Mind blowing times we live in. Just hope that if this grants us more time in future we actually use it to do the things we grumble about not having time for like family and touching grass.
So when they told the factory workers they should code I guess they were wrong?
How early would you have your kids working with chatGPT?
Great read!
Nice overview. An optimistic take, which I always appreciate. I would love to see a follow on article expanding more on how AI and Crypto may interact and complement each other (or not). Thanks DC.
"But it is not all doom and gloom- there are perhaps reasons to be optimistic. In the history of technological disruption, humans always found creative ways to use new tools to make their work better and do even more of it." But this time it's different. Humans have 2 kinds of labor, physical and intellect. That's it. Physical labor has dramatically evolved over the past 100 years due to improvements in tech (look at the number of people farming as a job today versus 100 years ago). Which was fine because we could think. It's our bread and butter. For the first time in history we will not be able to compete on an intellectual level. And given a long enough timeline (which turns out isn't too long) AI technology will undoubtedly create structural unemployment. That is to say, there will be nothing many people can do to make themselves economically viable. Despite the authors encouragement to get ahead of the curve and learn how to use the tech, many will not. I think the time is now to start talking about what to do with this situation. What to do when the unemployment rate goes to 30 or 40 or 50%?
Love this. Great one. Appreciate it
Great read, thank you for your deep insight DC!
Great read and sums up exactly what I’ve probably been annoying people with these last few weeks 😂 I’m curious what bets you may make on the future of work 15ish years from now. That is, if you had kids under 10 yrs old today, what guidance would you give them as they navigate HS and college?
I read "Scary Smart" by Mo Gawdat (former CTO of google X) a couple years ago, and he outlines where we were at the time, and where it could go for us as humans. A lot of the same points you made, but we didn't have ChatGPT at the time. But he also details the rate of change/adoption for new technologies, and how it increases exponentially. What a time to be alive, literally and figuratively. I'm not sure what the future holds exactly, but I should....buy Fetch coins? hahaa
Great read well done :)
I'm super optimistic. One nit pick though, GPT4 has had vision since day 1. We just haven't been able to use it. The major differences between 3.5 and 4 was that 4 was "born and raised" multi-modal. So comparing two columns (before/after vision) is relatively moot. Perhaps the tests could be different based on whether or not it used vision in the test evaluations (like the SAT, it could read the diagrams.) One of the interesting theories about the multimodal nature is that just having been trained on vision and knowing visual things makes it better at text-only reasoning too. I find that to be fascinating and exciting.
Kindly view my new NFTs on https://nftmyimage.com/@nigeriadaily
This is a truly great read. Well articulated and thought out. Should inspire the few to get out of their arm chairs and begin investigating AI.
So far the best work i've read that summarises the current state of AI and its potential for humanity. Incredibly thought provoking! Thank you for sharing. Must read and must share.
Great read with insightful information that enlightens the mind. Recently I tried my hand at some tech writing, AI is coming and I thought I’d put together a rounded article—would love your eyes and insights 😊 https://tumbleweedwords.substack.com/p/ai-enters-our-everyday-reflections